For the Democrats, Iowa and New Hampshire are not always accurate and they don’t even usually pick the same winner. [It’s also been known to happen that the winner of neither goes on to win the nomination, just ask Bill Clinton.] Then South Carolina has gotten it right…about 66% of the time. Not exaclty a… Read More »
Trump’s “stunning” win in New Hampshire (so says a media that thinks a months-long polling advantage is surprising) may be a bigger deal than it at first appears. “But Alabama Liberal, you just said Bernie’s win was no big deal?” That’s right, but that’s because the state is Bernie’s backyard, lilly-white, and he’s not polling well… Read More »
This instance that her campaign is in trouble is a perception that the media is more desperate to create than a reality. Hillary fully expected to lose New Hampshire to Bernie. She as much as said so in last Wednesday’s Town Hall meeting and last Thursday’s debate. She spoke freely about the polling data and the Senator… Read More »
Before the media gets too caught up pretending that New Hampshire and Iowa are great indicators of what the “folks out there” are thinking, it’s a little crazy to think that these two states weed out our presidential candidates when both of them put together don’t have the populations of New York (which isn’t voting… Read More »
It’s tempting to overthink New Hampshire—a state that is not really indicative of America, but has huge influence over its presidency—and reconfigure the race for about a week…until the next primary reshuffles it again. All the breathless coverage usually misses the point, but perhaps not in the case of Rubio’s stingingly weak showing. A week… Read More »
The headlines seem to be some variation of “Hillary is in big trouble!” Or how Trump and Sanders dominated. OR how this will dramatically change the race…blah blah blah… The truth is that Donald Trump has been leading in New Hampshire for months. If he had lost tonight it would have spelled big trouble for… Read More »
“What do you think Jim Gilmore’s doing right now?”–Only Alabama Liberal. That’s right folks, I ask the questions nobody else cares about—I mean, “dares” to ask. And right now I’d like to continue being fascinated by/laughing at “Presidential Candidate” Jim Gilmore. [The quotes are necessary for legal reasons.] Earlier today, I asked “But Seriously, Why… Read More »
I think it’s been pretty transparent what Carly Fiorina’s role in this election has been: to talk shit about Hillary Clinton. The wise sages in the Republican Party had to find a female candidate—any female candidate so that it wouldn’t just be dozen men on stage talking about how evil Hillary Clinton is. In fact, even… Read More »
One of the biggest stories coming out of New Hampshire right now is John Kasich doing pretty well in second place. This isn’t entirely unexpected since Kasich has been polling at 15% to 18% for a while now, and that’s…well, almost exactly what he’ll wind up with. In fact, New Hampshire offered very little surprises,… Read More »
We just asked if Chris Christie was done in this race, now it’s time to wonder “Is he afraid to go home?” Right before the New Hampshire primary, Christie said “I’m going to South Carolina even if we place 6th in New Hampshire.” Yet he now seems to have changed his mind since he may… Read More »