Tag Archives: GOP

Do We Have “GOP Stockholm Syndrome?” Are We Immune to Their Crazy?

One of the many dangers of having an 18-month primary season (the earliest presidential candidates joined the fray in the first months of 2015) but barely a 4-month general election season is that there’s so much party in-fighting you might get used to Republican crazy or even take it for granted. Sure, Bernie is a… Read More »

It’s Not Kasich or Bush That’s Holding Rubio Back, It’s TED CRUZ

The biggest problem in forecasting races is that political pundits think voters are paying attention to the same things they are. They assume an electorate is more focused on individual issues or any real issues than individual (physical) traits or personalities. They leave out the “science” that voters gravitate towards candidates that remind them of themselves, regardless… Read More »

Why Bernie Can’t Beat ANY of the Five GOP Potential Nominees

I know, I know, Bernie’s fans won’t believe a word I say about him or his electability chances, but I’m hoping against hope that I can convince at least some people before it’s too late. Realistically, there are five GOP candidates who could be the nominee (sorry Ben Carson). When you really start to crunch… Read More »

For GOP, South Carolina and New Hampshire Are Actually Great Predictors

For the Democrats, Iowa and New Hampshire are not always accurate and they don’t even usually pick the same winner. [It’s also been known to happen that the winner of neither goes on to win the nomination, just ask Bill Clinton.] Then South Carolina has gotten it right…about 66% of the time. Not exaclty a… Read More »