“Now is the time to get behind Rubio as the anti-Trump!” Too late. “Can Ted Cruz pull an upset?” No. “Maybe John Kasich could pull a rabbit out of his hat–” No, he can’t. Unless Donald Trump actually shoots somebody, he’s going to be the Republican nominee. And even then, his poll numbers will probably…
Introducing a New “Big Questions” YouTube Channel…
Adding to this site’s just-started YouTube channel is a new sub-channel called “Big Questions?” where I attempt to answer big questions of the day. Like some of the big questions posted in the first four segments… –“Who’s Going to Win?” where I looked historical facts no one else seemed to pick up on–like the fact that…
Just Where Does John Kasich Actually Plan to Compete?
I keep seeing recent stories that the GOP is strongly trying to push John Kasich off a cliff–I mean, give him a nudge to drop out of the race. They keep saying “It’s Rubio’s world and you’re just living it.” Now I disspelled that notion yesterday as I don’t think most Kasich voters are necessarily…
It’s Not Kasich or Bush That’s Holding Rubio Back, It’s TED CRUZ
The biggest problem in forecasting races is that political pundits think voters are paying attention to the same things they are. They assume an electorate is more focused on individual issues or any real issues than individual (physical) traits or personalities. They leave out the “science” that voters gravitate towards candidates that remind them of themselves, regardless…
Jeb Bush Really Was Like His Dad: A Man Out of Sync with His Era
South Carolina brought another casualty in the 2016 Presidential race: Jeb Bush. It’s also possibly the last one we’ll see for a while, since Rubio and Kasich both believe they should be the anti-Trump nominee, Ted Cruz’s dirty tricks will grow worse, and Ben Carson is adamant that he’s staying in the race…for some reason….
Are Republicans Going to Vote For Bernie in Nevada Caucus?
Tomorrow is the Nevada Caucus, and even though South Carolina really means more, the Nevada results will bring a lot of breathless hype from everyone talking about how this “changes the race!” As they’ll now say everytime any state votes, and another good reason that it’s a little crazy that basically the entire month of…
Is Thinking Black Leaders are Sell-Outs the Ultimate White Privilege?
In episode 9 of “A Year Long Conversation” we dissect the divisions in the progressive movement between age, gender, and particularly race. Because there’s a weird phenomenon out there: young, white progressives who have had relatively good lives seem to think that even black leaders are now part of “The Machine.” They seem to view themselves as more…
Episode 9–Is There a Racial and Gender Divide Among Progressives?
In one of our best episodes so far we get to the big questions: If Cruz and Rubio speak any more Spanish at the debates, will Trump build a wall around the stage? Will the mutual hatred between he and Jeb lead Trump to threaten to deport Columba Bush? And then our main topic: Is…
Why Bernie Can’t Beat ANY of the Five GOP Potential Nominees
I know, I know, Bernie’s fans won’t believe a word I say about him or his electability chances, but I’m hoping against hope that I can convince at least some people before it’s too late. Realistically, there are five GOP candidates who could be the nominee (sorry Ben Carson). When you really start to crunch…
TV Review: Why “Galavant” Deserves Your Viewing
It’s rare we get an “off day” from politics around here. Between primaries, near-daily debates (or “town halls”), candidates dropping out, and Supreme Court deaths, it’s becoming increasingly infrequent that we get a chance to talk about the old favorites: movies, TV, and books. So I figured I’d take advantage by praising ABC’s “Galavant.” Sure,…
Episode 8–How Will Scalia’s Death Affect 2016? Should Liberals Celebrate?
In episode 8 of “A Year Long Conversation” we go through all the big stories that happened in only a week since we talked to you last: Bernie proves that white people really do like him in New Hampshire, Carly Fiorina and Chris Christie go back to just privately hating Hillary Clinton, the Valentine’s Day GOP debate…
Petty Issues: Jeb, George, Trump, and Cruz…A Rogue’s Gallery of Humanity’s Worst
Jeb Bush rolled out his secreat weapon: his brother, the worst president in modern times. Watching these two campaign together reminds me of when the Special Ed kids go to the City Council meeting to learn about Government. It’s the first time I’ve ever seen a bullet-proof short bus… Speaking of Jeb’s family connections, the…
Why Obama Should NOT Go for the Recess Appointment
Quick legal summary: When there is a vacancy on The Supreme Court, the President gets the power to nominate a replacement. If they filibuster his nominee, it doesn’t get through, and he could technically not fill that vacancy even if they filibuster all his nominees for years. [Although so far a nominee has never been filibustered.] However, if congress is in…