How will each candidate do on Super-Tuesday? Let’s take a look… Democrats Hillary Clinton…Will Win: Georgia, Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, Virginia, and the big prize of Texas. Will Probably Win: Oklahoma. Decent Odds: Massachuttes, Colorado. Could Go Either Way: Minnesota. Will Lose: Vermont Bernie Sanders…Will Win: Vermont. Might Win: Minnesota. Could Win: Massachuttes, Colorado, Oklahoma. Will Lose Everything Else Republicans…They have all the states Democrats do plus Alaska and Wyoming Donald Trump…Will…
Category: Larger Editorials
Does Chris Christie Endorsement Really Matter? It Just Might…
By now, Rubio has collected more political endorsements than The Godfather who carried around politicians “like so many nickels and dimes in your pocket.” He’s had damn-near every big name Republican politician of past (Romney) present (Nikki Haley) and waaay past (Bob Dole). So people might look at Christie’s endorsement and think “who cares? Rubio…
It’s Trump’s World and the Rest of the GOP is Just Living In It
“Now is the time to get behind Rubio as the anti-Trump!” Too late. “Can Ted Cruz pull an upset?” No. “Maybe John Kasich could pull a rabbit out of his hat–” No, he can’t. Unless Donald Trump actually shoots somebody, he’s going to be the Republican nominee. And even then, his poll numbers will probably…
Introducing a New “Big Questions” YouTube Channel…
Adding to this site’s just-started YouTube channel is a new sub-channel called “Big Questions?” where I attempt to answer big questions of the day. Like some of the big questions posted in the first four segments… –“Who’s Going to Win?” where I looked historical facts no one else seemed to pick up on–like the fact that…
Just Where Does John Kasich Actually Plan to Compete?
I keep seeing recent stories that the GOP is strongly trying to push John Kasich off a cliff–I mean, give him a nudge to drop out of the race. They keep saying “It’s Rubio’s world and you’re just living it.” Now I disspelled that notion yesterday as I don’t think most Kasich voters are necessarily…
It’s Not Kasich or Bush That’s Holding Rubio Back, It’s TED CRUZ
The biggest problem in forecasting races is that political pundits think voters are paying attention to the same things they are. They assume an electorate is more focused on individual issues or any real issues than individual (physical) traits or personalities. They leave out the “science” that voters gravitate towards candidates that remind them of themselves, regardless…
Jeb Bush Really Was Like His Dad: A Man Out of Sync with His Era
South Carolina brought another casualty in the 2016 Presidential race: Jeb Bush. It’s also possibly the last one we’ll see for a while, since Rubio and Kasich both believe they should be the anti-Trump nominee, Ted Cruz’s dirty tricks will grow worse, and Ben Carson is adamant that he’s staying in the race…for some reason….
Are Republicans Going to Vote For Bernie in Nevada Caucus?
Tomorrow is the Nevada Caucus, and even though South Carolina really means more, the Nevada results will bring a lot of breathless hype from everyone talking about how this “changes the race!” As they’ll now say everytime any state votes, and another good reason that it’s a little crazy that basically the entire month of…
Is Thinking Black Leaders are Sell-Outs the Ultimate White Privilege?
In episode 9 of “A Year Long Conversation” we dissect the divisions in the progressive movement between age, gender, and particularly race. Because there’s a weird phenomenon out there: young, white progressives who have had relatively good lives seem to think that even black leaders are now part of “The Machine.” They seem to view themselves as more…
Why Bernie Can’t Beat ANY of the Five GOP Potential Nominees
I know, I know, Bernie’s fans won’t believe a word I say about him or his electability chances, but I’m hoping against hope that I can convince at least some people before it’s too late. Realistically, there are five GOP candidates who could be the nominee (sorry Ben Carson). When you really start to crunch…
Why Obama Should NOT Go for the Recess Appointment
Quick legal summary: When there is a vacancy on The Supreme Court, the President gets the power to nominate a replacement. If they filibuster his nominee, it doesn’t get through, and he could technically not fill that vacancy even if they filibuster all his nominees for years. [Although so far a nominee has never been filibustered.] However, if congress is in…
Live-Blogging the GOP Debate…This Should Be a Good One
6:00–How will Scalia’s death affect this debate? We’re about to find out… 6:01–It should be a barn-burner. Chief asshole Ted Cruz has already said he wants to wait until next year for a replacement which would be unprecedented. 6:02–This phony debate begins with a moment of silence which is more than most candidates gave before…
Does Anton Scalia’s Death Make 2016 Race More Real?
It’s never a great thing to celebrate the passing of the dead, but Supreme Court Justice Anton Scalia wasn’t a great person. In fact, he was a really awful person, and having him on the Supreme Court is the rough equivalent of Justice Fred Phelps. [Or as long-suffering Alabamaians know all too well, Chief Justice…