Tag Archives: Bernie

Clinton and Trump are the Nominees, Get Over It

In an article written a few days ago, I said March 15th would definitively tell us who would win the primaries. People scoffed, and I’m not one to say “I told you so” but Alabama Liberal’s election predictions are usually better than the ones people are paying big money to get on other media outlets,… Read More »

We’ll Know Who the Nominees are After March 15th

In the last A Year Long Conversation podcast, “Episode 12: Why March 15th is the Most Important Day of the Election” we both let it be known that March 15th is the most important day of the election. Now I’d like to go a step beyond that and say definitively that we’ll know who the… Read More »

Episode 12-Why March 15th is the Most Important Day of the Campaign

Beware the Ides of March: We explain why March 15th is the most important day of the entire campaign, and breaking down why we’ll pretty much know who the nominees are going to be after this day. Also, we get to burning questions like: Is the Republican establishment trying to look stupid? Have they lost the ancient,… Read More »

Super Tuesday Predictions For Each State…

How will each candidate do on Super-Tuesday? Let’s take a look… Democrats Hillary Clinton…Will Win: Georgia, Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, Virginia, and the big prize of Texas. Will Probably Win: Oklahoma. Decent Odds: Massachuttes, Colorado. Could Go Either Way: Minnesota. Will Lose: Vermont Bernie Sanders…Will Win: Vermont. Might Win: Minnesota. Could Win: Massachuttes, Colorado, Oklahoma. Will Lose Everything Else Republicans…They have all the states Democrats do plus Alaska and Wyoming Donald Trump…Will… Read More »

Episode 10–What Type of Strategies and Fans Does Each Candidate Have? Exploring GOP Identity Politics

A very special tenth episode of “A Year Long Conversation” that is a little longer than usual but moves like a bullet-train. We dive deep into: How each candidate’s strategy is shaped by who they are (Ted Cruz’s shady minions, Rubio’s half-hearted endorsements, Trump’s unimaginative strategy of actually winning states). We explore the media’s dead-wrong assertion that… Read More »

It’s Not Kasich or Bush That’s Holding Rubio Back, It’s TED CRUZ

The biggest problem in forecasting races is that political pundits think voters are paying attention to the same things they are. They assume an electorate is more focused on individual issues or any real issues than individual (physical) traits or personalities. They leave out the “science” that voters gravitate towards candidates that remind them of themselves, regardless… Read More »

Is Thinking Black Leaders are Sell-Outs the Ultimate White Privilege?

In episode 9 of “A Year Long Conversation” we dissect the divisions in the progressive movement between age, gender, and particularly race. Because there’s a weird phenomenon out there: young, white progressives who have had relatively good lives seem to think that even black leaders are now part of “The Machine.” They seem to view themselves as more… Read More »

Episode 9–Is There a Racial and Gender Divide Among Progressives?

In one of our best episodes so far we get to the big questions: If Cruz and Rubio speak any more Spanish at the debates, will Trump build a wall around the stage? Will the mutual hatred between he and Jeb lead Trump to threaten to deport Columba Bush? And then our main topic: Is… Read More »

Why Bernie Can’t Beat ANY of the Five GOP Potential Nominees

I know, I know, Bernie’s fans won’t believe a word I say about him or his electability chances, but I’m hoping against hope that I can convince at least some people before it’s too late. Realistically, there are five GOP candidates who could be the nominee (sorry Ben Carson). When you really start to crunch… Read More »

Why Obama Should NOT Go for the Recess Appointment

Quick legal summary: When there is a vacancy on The Supreme Court, the President gets the power to nominate a replacement. If they filibuster his nominee, it doesn’t get through, and he could technically not fill that vacancy even if they filibuster all his nominees for years. [Although so far a nominee has never been filibustered.] However, if congress is in… Read More »